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babs474 on April 2, 2014 | parent | context | favorite | on: A group of 3,000 citizens is making better forecas...

For a prediction market anyone can join checkout https://scicast.org/

Whats neat about SciCast is you can make predictions based on the assumption of how other questions will turn out.

eg I think that if the price of bitcoin exceeds 1000 by 2015 at least one presidential candidate will accept bitcoin donations. If btc ends up being below 1000 I make no prediction.

tedsanders on April 2, 2014 [–]

Just to add, the SciCast project came out of the DAGGRE project, which was a competitor to Good Judgment in the IARPA prediction challenge.

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