Yep. I've been hearing «Look, we only got tools that are really capable in the past 6->8 months... everything prior to that was unusable garbage, so anything anyone said about the field prior to that is totally invalid.» for years now.

What's moving the goalposts? I am very much amazed at what Fable can do. I push its code straight to prod.

But I am just as amazed with how little real life consequence it seems to have! Even software houses were hit more by interest rates than by this magical revolution.

If I couldn't directly observe Fable in action, I wouldn't believe in AI.

I read the lack of real-life consequences as a sign that gains through digital technology as a whole become ever more marginal.

What would produce huge "gains" (depends on who you ask) again is the automation of the myriad non-digital roles/companies, but good luck with that...

> What's moving the goalposts? I am very much amazed at what Fable can do. I push its code straight to prod.

>> What's moving the goalposts? I am very much amazed at what Opus 4.8 can do. I push its code straight to prod.

>>> What's moving the goalposts? I am very much amazed at what Opus 4.6 can do. I push its code straight to prod.

>>>> What's moving the goalposts? I am very much amazed at what GPT5 can do. I push its code straight to prod.

>>>>>> What's moving the goalposts? I am very much amazed at what Opus 3.5 can do. I push its code straight to prod.

I am definitely not impressed by Opus. Quite the opposite usually.