I know that story - but think it is enough of an outlier (regardless of how it went down) to basically be irrelevant to almost all hires. The idea that people are routinely filtering out great hires in their thousands in ways that come back to haunt them ... doesn’t seem plausible.
I get what you guys are saying, there just doesn’t seem to be real evidence that is an issue nearly all cases. Whatsapp notwithstanding
No, the idea is that you don't know what you are filtering out. As I said - it's extremely easy to just hand-wave. And if you want to believe that you know the unknown downside I am not the one to persuade you otherwise. But acknowledging that it's just a personal belief not only unsubstantiated but contradicted by data could be a good first step :)
I think we are talking past each other. I have never said I know the unknown, that would be silly. But funds,entsllu can’t avoid false negatives without degrading other performance , assuming some reasonable things. Even without those assumption, there is a very real cost to what you are suggesting. You seem to be waving off this cost.
So in order for it to make sense to spend that money, you want some evidence there will be a positive return. Far from contradicting my position, what limited data I have seen does not support that effort, at least in the general case. Certainly whatsapp and the like don’t speak to it - they are very much outliers.
By all means try it. If your false positive rate explodes it will be an expensive lesson, but that’s always a risk.
One last point, the idea that nobody thinks about this and try’s thinks is laughable , which is worth noting because some comments in this thread almost suggest that it’s true,.
With my example of sacrificing a 10K cruise for a chance to not lose a 1M home, I figure?
> Far from contradicting my position, what limited data I have seen does not support that effort, at least in the general case.
Indeed, the data does not contradict a statement "on average, false positives are 4.5B each", which nobody has argued. However, it does contradict the statement "false negatives have any cost only when you are unable to fill the position as the result", which you have made in this thread.
>One last point, the idea that nobody thinks about this and try’s thinks is laughable , which is worth noting because some comments in this thread almost suggest that it’s true,.
Again, it would be silly to say that nobody thinks about it. Evidently, a number of people think the same way you do.
I get what you guys are saying, there just doesn’t seem to be real evidence that is an issue nearly all cases. Whatsapp notwithstanding